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WSA-ENLIL+Cone Model For 2.0 AU with Completion Time:
2023-02-28T17:53Z
Model Inputs: 2023-02-25T19:38:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=48.0, Lat.=10.0, Speed=920.0, HalfAngle=58.0, Time21.5=2023-02-25T23:23Z Model Outputs: Earth Impact: Earth Shock Arrival Time = 2023-02-27T23:36Z (+- 7 hours) [PE: 13.3 hr] Duration of disturbance (hr) = 15.0 (+- 8 hours) Minimum magnetopause standoff distance: Rmin(Re) = 5.5 Possible Kp index: (kp)90=5 (kp)135=7 (kp)180=7 Other Location(s) Impact: OSIRIS-REx with estimated shock arrival time 2023-03-01T02:32Z STEREO A with estimated shock arrival time 2023-02-28T05:25Z [PE: 29.4 hr] Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230225_232400_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230225_232400_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230225_232400_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230225_232400_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_B.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230225_232400_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230225_232400_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_B.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230225_232400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230225_232400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230225_232400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230225_232400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230225_232400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STB_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230225_232400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230225_232400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230225_232400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230225_232400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230225_232400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif Note : This model result (Result 3) is a re-simulation of CME: 2023-02-25T19:38Z which was executed on 2023-02-28. The original 1-CME simulation (see Result 1) was executed on 2023-02-26 but was overwritten with a subsequent execution of a 2-CME simulation involving this CME (see Result 2). Relative to the original 1-CME simulation, the new magnetogram background changed the arrival time at Earth by approximately 1.5 hours. Submitted on 2023-02-28T18:12Z by Chris Stubenrauch No Notification has been sent for this activity yet. |
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